Is This Your Rainy Day?—Cash Management in Small Resource Dependent Economies
Posted by Tej Prakash
Small economies where resource revenues are a significant part of the budget often face volatile inflows due to fluctuations in production, demand, and price. Hence, if the budget is based on a particular reference price for the resource, actual revenues will often over- or under-perform based on the actual resource price. In case of underperformance, the country then faces, the choice of continuing the smooth implementation of the budget, if price movements are only seen as temporary, or adjusting expenditure downward. The question is, are there approaches to insulating the budget from such unpredictable cash flows?
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